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ANALYSIS

What can we get from the results? How did we analyzed it?

LAND SIZE ANALYSIS

Default

Summer

Winter

Default Case

Surface Temperature Analysis

lm = 10 (Urban 20%, 40km)

  • Surface Temperature

       - Difference Max: 1.65 K

       - Diff Max occur time: 

          6:30 PM 

lm = 20 (Urban 40%, 80km)

  • Surface Temperature

       - Difference Max: 1.73 K

       - Diff Max occur time: 

          6:30 PM 

lm = 40 (Urban 80%, 160km)

  • Surface Temperature

       - Difference Max: 1.89 K

       - Diff Max occur time: 

          6:00 PM 

[Surface T deviation_(local time minimum)]

   - As land size increases, the maximum temperature deviation increases.
   - The time period during which the maximum deviation appeared was similar with respect to urban size 

U-wind Analysis

  • U Wind

       - Collision time:

          9:00PM

       - Average Velocity change:

       0.232 m/s (Before Collision)

       > 0.160 m/s (After Collision)

    

  • U Wind

       - Collision time:

          11:00PM

       - Average Velocity change:

       0.259 m/s (Before Collision)

       > 0.208 m/s (After Collision)

    

  • U Wind

       - Collision time:

          00:30AM

       - Average Velocity change:

       0.141 m/s (Before Collision)

       > 0.171 m/s (After Collision)

    

[U wind]

  As land size increases, the transition time point from convergence to divergence in the center is delayed.
  - The average speed of convergence (before collision) and divergence (after collision) calculated on one side of urban
     decreases. ( The velocity was calculated with absolute values ​​before and after the time point )

W-wind Analysis

lm = 10 (Urban 20%, 40km)

lm = 20 (Urban 40%, 80km)

lm = 40 (Urban 80%, 160km)

Timestep 4

Wwind_default_lm204.png
Wwind_default_lm404.png

[W wind]

  As land size increases,  the dome-shaped upward wind field seen in the 5 PM widens.
  - When the urban size is 40km, there is no downward wind inside the urban area at 5 PM. 

  - Strong upward and downward winds appear at the edge of the urban area
  - As the U wind pushes the W wind, the W wind pattern converges toward the center and gets weak.

Summer Case

Surface Temperature Analysis

wrfout_max_temperature_difference_plot_summer.png

lm = 10 (Urban 20%, 40km)

  • Surface Temperature

       - Difference Max: 2.66 K

       - Diff Max occur time: 

          6:00 PM 

lm = 20 (Urban 40%, 80km)

  • Surface Temperature

       - Difference Max: 2.78 K

       - Diff Max occur time: 

          6:00 PM 

lm = 40 (Urban 80%, 160km)

  • Surface Temperature

       - Difference Max: 3.04 K

       - Diff Max occur time: 

          6:00 PM 

summer_lm10.gif
summer_lm20.gif
summer_lm40.gif

[Surface T deviation_(local time minimum)]

   - As land size increases, the maximum temperature deviation increases.
   - The time period during which the maximum deviation appeared was similar with respect to urban size 

U-wind Analysis

  • U Wind

       - Collision time:

          6:30PM

       - Average Velocity change:

       0.052 m/s (Before Collision)

       > 0.114 m/s (After Collision)

    

그림4.png
  • U Wind

       - Collision time:

          7:00PM

       - Average Velocity change:

       0.029 m/s (Before Collision)

       > 0.120 m/s (After Collision)

    

그림5.png
  • U Wind

       - Collision time:

          7:00PM

       - Average Velocity change:

       0.017 m/s (Before Collision)

       > 0.076 m/s (After Collision)

    

그림7.png

[U wind]

  As land size increases, the transition time point from convergence to divergence in the center is delayed.
  - The average speed of convergence (before collision) and divergence (after collision) calculated on one side of urban
     decreases. ( The velocity was calculated with absolute values ​​before and after the time point )

W-wind Analysis

lm = 10 (Urban 20%, 40km)

lm = 20 (Urban 40%, 80km)

lm = 40 (Urban 80%, 160km)

W_wind_summer_lm10.gif
W_wind_summer_lm20.gif
W_wind_summer_lm40.gif

Timestep 7

Wwind_summer_lm107.png
Wwind_summer_lm209.png
Wwind_summer_lm409.png

[W wind]

  As land size increases,  the dome-shaped wind field (contains both downward and upward) widens.
  - Unlike the Default case, downward and upward wind co-exist in the dome area

  - Strong upward and downward winds appear at the edge of the urban area
  - As the U wind pushes the W wind, the W wind pattern converges toward the center and gets weak.

Timestep 9

Timestep 9

Winter Case

Surface Temperature Analysis

wrfout_max_temperature_difference_plot_winter.png

lm = 10 (Urban 20%, 40km)

  • Surface Temperature

       - Difference Max: 1.76 K

       - Diff Max occur time: 

          10:30 PM 

lm = 20 (Urban 40%, 80km)

  • Surface Temperature

       - Difference Max: 1.82 K

       - Diff Max occur time: 

          8:30 PM, 10:00 PM 

lm = 40 (Urban 80%, 160km)

  • Surface Temperature

       - Difference Max: 1.45 K

       - Diff Max occur time: 

          3:00 PM 

winter_lm10.gif
winter_lm20.gif
winter_lm40.gif

[Surface T deviation_(local time minimum)]

  - Maximum temperature deviation appears largest in the case of land size 80km ( lm=20) , followed by size 
    40km(lm=10), 160km(lm=40) .
  - Maximum-value-appearing time points are also different. Therefore, it is hard to find a pattern.

U-wind Analysis

  • U Wind

       - Collision time:

          8:00PM

       - Average Velocity change:

       0.504 m/s (Before Collision)

       > 0.292 m/s (After Collision)

그림7.png
  • U Wind

       - Collision time:

          8:30PM

       - Average Velocity change:

       0.427 m/s (Before Collision)

       > 0.080 m/s (After Collision)

그림8.png
  • U Wind

       - No Significant Pattern

그림9.png

[U wind]

  - As the city size increased from 40km(lm=10) to 80km(lm=20), the conversion time point was delayed.
  - On the other hand, in 160km(lm=40), the eastward wind was dominant throughout the time step.

2023-2 Numerical Weather Prediction
Team 4

Ideal Urban Heat Island Simulation

- Analysis of relationship between heat dome intensity and the degree of urbanization

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